Ferro 2vs
Vélez Sársfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 4/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vélez Sársfield Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Ferro 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vélez Sársfield Res. are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vélez Sársfield Res. hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 70.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.2% in the Reserve League, while Vélez Sársfield Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vélez Sársfield Res.
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
18.2%
Vélez Sársfield Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20