GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/12/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while TuBa Pohlheim are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

9.3%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldDWDLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
TuBa PohlheimWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldTuBa Pohlheim
50.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence16.7
66.7Form50.0
68.0Power45.8
2.22xG1.47
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