GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hünfelder SV are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

11.4%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FernwaldDDWLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Hünfelder SVWLWLL

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldHünfelder SV
44.4Attack66.7
77.8Defence55.6
55.6Form66.7
60.9Power64.7
1.70xG1.54
View match centre →