GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 5/14/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fernando De La Mora are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente F.b.c. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente F.b.c. hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente F.b.c.

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Fernando De La MoraWWWLL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente F.b.c.WLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Fernando De La MoraIndependiente F.b.c.
36.8Attack48.1
50.9Defence53.7
40.4Form42.6
45.7Power50.1
1.08xG1.31
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