Fenixvs
Plaza Colonia
SCHEDULEDUruguay · Segunda División · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fenix are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Plaza Colonia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Plaza Colonia hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.8% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
21.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80