Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Fenix are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Oriental are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00