Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Fenix are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while La Luz are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60