Fenerbahçevs
Gornik Zabrze
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 7/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenerbahçe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gornik Zabrze are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the UEFA Champions League, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenerbahçe
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60