GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fenerbahçe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gornik Zabrze are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenerbahçe hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the UEFA Champions League, while Fenerbahçe holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fenerbahçe

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Fenerbahçe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FenerbahçeWWWDW

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Gornik ZabrzeWDLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FenerbahçeGornik Zabrze
41.7Attack16.7
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form16.7
75.3Power36.5
1.57xG0.91
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