Fencibles Unitedvs
Auckland City
COMPLETEDNew-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 7/25/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fencibles United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Fencibles United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Auckland City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fencibles United hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (92.6 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Chatham Cup, while Fencibles United holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fencibles United
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Fencibles United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40