Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Backnang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fellbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Backnang are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Backnang hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (30.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Backnang holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Backnang
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Backnang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60