GGOALVIO

Moldova · Liga 1 · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Univer Comrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

FCM Ungheni are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Univer Comrat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Univer Comrat hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Liga 1, while Univer Comrat holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Univer Comrat

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

8.9%

Univer Comrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FCM UngheniDLLLW

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Univer ComratWLLDW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FCM UngheniUniver Comrat
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power51.0
1.84xG2.02
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