GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 5/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FCI Levadia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

FCI Levadia II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Maardu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FCI Levadia II hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.0% in the Esiliiga A, while FCI Levadia II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FCI Levadia II

Probability

64.0%

Model confidence

64.0%

FCI Levadia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FCI Levadia IILLLWL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MaarduWLDDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FCI Levadia IIMaardu
65.2Attack53.0
42.4Defence24.2
47.0Form43.9
52.0Power42.2
3.38xG1.70
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