GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FCI Levadia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

FCI Levadia II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Elva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Esiliiga A, while FCI Levadia II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FCI Levadia II

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

7.5%

FCI Levadia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FCI Levadia IIWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ElvaWWWDW

GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
FCI Levadia IIElva
65.2Attack62.1
42.4Defence45.5
47.0Form51.5
52.0Power54.1
2.36xG2.05
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