Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sochaux · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
FC Zurich are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sochaux are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sochaux hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sochaux holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sochaux
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Sochaux has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20