GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Winterthur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

FC Winterthur are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Union Berlin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Winterthur hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Winterthur holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Winterthur

Probability

57.1%

Model confidence

57.1%

FC Winterthur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC WinterthurDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union BerlinLDWWW

GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC WinterthurUnion Berlin
79.5Attack83.3
69.2Defence36.7
74.4Form40.0
73.0Power49.4
3.58xG1.34
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