GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 7/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Vitebsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FC Vitebsk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FC Dnepr Mogilev are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Vitebsk hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Premier League, while FC Vitebsk holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Vitebsk

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

FC Vitebsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC VitebskDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC Dnepr MogilevWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC VitebskFC Dnepr Mogilev
35.3Attack29.4
68.6Defence45.1
51.0Form23.5
53.6Power35.3
1.32xG0.48
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