Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Urartu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Urartu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Syunik are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Urartu hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Premier League, while FC Urartu holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Urartu
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
11.4%
FC Urartu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20