Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC UFA · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC UFA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while KAMAZ are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC UFA hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the First League, while FC UFA holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC UFA
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
FC UFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60