GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Tulsa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Antonio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TulsaLWDWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
San AntonioWWWDL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TulsaSan Antonio
37.0Attack45.6
68.5Defence63.2
53.7Form56.1
54.7Power57.5
0.87xG0.79
View match centre →