GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Tulsa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orange County SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TulsaDWDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Orange County SCWLWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FC TulsaOrange County SC
37.0Attack50.9
68.5Defence61.4
53.7Form59.6
54.7Power59.6
0.91xG0.89
View match centre →