GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/26/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Tulsa are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while One Knoxville are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.9 against 42.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.8% in the USL League One Cup, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.8%

Model confidence

34.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TulsaDLDWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
One KnoxvilleWDWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TulsaOne Knoxville
33.3Attack25.0
50.0Defence66.7
33.3Form25.0
41.9Power42.1
1.17xG1.07
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