Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FC Tulsa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Lexington are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.7 against 54.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80