GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/19/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tulsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Tulsa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the USL Championship, while FC Tulsa holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tulsa

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

FC Tulsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TulsaLLWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
El Paso LocomotiveLWLDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FC TulsaEl Paso Locomotive
37.0Attack50.9
68.5Defence52.6
53.7Form49.1
54.7Power52.0
1.14xG0.87
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