GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/9/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

FC Tulsa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Detroit City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and detroit City hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring a draw with 21.9% confidence, a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

21.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TulsaWWDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Detroit CityDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TulsaDetroit City
37.0Attack48.1
68.5Defence68.5
53.7Form57.4
54.7Power59.2
0.74xG0.84
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