GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tokyo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Tokyo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tokyo Verdy hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the J1 League, while FC Tokyo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tokyo

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TokyoLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tokyo VerdyLWWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC TokyoTokyo Verdy
50.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
16.7Form16.7
25.2Power31.3
1.58xG1.35
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