FC Tokyovs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 5/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tokyo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Tokyo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tokyo Verdy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tokyo Verdy hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the J1 League, while FC Tokyo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Tokyo
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
FC Tokyo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60