FC Tokyovs
Kashiwa Reysol
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 2/28/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kashiwa Reysol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Tokyo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kashiwa Reysol hold a 61.3-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the J1 League, while Kashiwa Reysol holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kashiwa Reysol
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Kashiwa Reysol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00