FC TokyovsJEF United Chiba

FC Tokyo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while JEF United Chiba are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tokyo hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (25.2 v 9.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the J1 League, while FC Tokyo holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.