GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

FC Thun are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Waldhof Mannheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Thun

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ThunDWDLL

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Waldhof MannheimWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC ThunWaldhof Mannheim
84.6Attack71.4
74.4Defence33.3
66.7Form52.4
70.7Power53.2
3.67xG1.03
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