GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

FC Thun are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while SV Elversberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Thun

Probability

65.5%

Model confidence

9.6%

FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ThunWDLLL

GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SV ElversbergWWLWD

GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FC ThunSV Elversberg
84.6Attack74.1
74.4Defence55.6
66.7Form63.0
70.7Power64.0
2.58xG1.17
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