GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

FC Thun are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Neuchatel Xamax FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Thun hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Thun

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ThunDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Neuchatel Xamax FCLLLWW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC ThunNeuchatel Xamax FC
84.6Attack70.0
74.4Defence30.0
66.7Form53.3
70.7Power49.2
4.13xG1.09
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