GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

FC Tallinn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Nõmme United II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United II hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United II

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Nõmme United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Nõmme United IIDLLLL

GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC TallinnNõmme United II
43.9Attack59.1
24.2Defence22.7
36.4Form34.8
37.0Power40.9
2.25xG2.57
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