FC Tallinnvs
Nõmme Kalju II
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 4/4/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC Tallinn are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tallinn hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Esiliiga A, while FC Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Tallinn
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
FC Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00