GGOALVIO

FC Tallinn logoFC TallinnvsMaardu logoMaardu

COMPLETED

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 5/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maardu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

FC Tallinn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maardu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maardu hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Maardu holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maardu

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

7.5%

Maardu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC TallinnLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MaarduLWWLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TallinnMaardu
43.9Attack53.0
24.2Defence24.2
36.4Form43.9
37.0Power42.2
2.19xG2.33
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