FC St. Paulivs
Werder Bremen
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 1/4/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC St. Pauli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
FC St. Pauli are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Werder Bremen are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC St. Pauli hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC St. Pauli holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC St. Pauli
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
FC St. Pauli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00