GGOALVIO

FC St. Pauli logoFC St. PaulivsSpVgg Greuther Fürth logoSpVgg Greuther Fürth

COMPLETED

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/9/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC St. Pauli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC St. Pauli are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SpVgg Greuther Furth are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the 2. Bundesliga, while FC St. Pauli holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC St. Pauli

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

12.8%

FC St. Pauli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC St. PauliDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
SpVgg Greuther FürthWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC St. PauliSpVgg Greuther Fürth
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.56xG1.33
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