FC St. Paulivs
HNK Gorica
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC St. Pauli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC St. Pauli are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while HNK Gorica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Gorica hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 71.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC St. Pauli holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC St. Pauli
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
FC St. Pauli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20