FC ST. Gallenvs
Sheriff Tiraspol
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC ST. Gallen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC ST. Gallen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sheriff Tiraspol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC ST. Gallen hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC ST. Gallen holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC ST. Gallen
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
10.9%
FC ST. Gallen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00