GGOALVIO

FC ST. Gallen logoFC ST. GallenvsBenfica logoBenfica

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC ST. Gallen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Benfica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 69.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Benfica holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benfica

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC ST. GallenLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BenficaWLWDD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC ST. GallenBenfica
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence66.7
50.0Form58.3
32.3Power69.5
1.15xG2.01
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