FC SochivsSpartak Kostroma

FC Sochi are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Spartak Kostroma are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Kostroma hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the First League, while Spartak Kostroma holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.