GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Sochi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

FC Sochi are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Rodina Moskva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Sochi

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SochiLDWDD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Rodina MoskvaDLLWD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC SochiRodina Moskva
80.4Attack38.9
62.7Defence72.2
72.5Form50.0
70.9Power55.3
1.63xG0.78
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