Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Sochi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
FC Sochi are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fakel are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Sochi
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00