FC SochivsArsenal Tula

FC Sochi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Arsenal Tula are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the First League, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.