FC SochivsArsenal Tula

FC Sochi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arsenal Tula are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Tula hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 82.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.