GGOALVIO

Portugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vitoria Setubal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

FC Serpa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Vitoria Setubal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria Setubal hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 67.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.1% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while Vitoria Setubal holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vitoria Setubal

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

19.1%

Vitoria Setubal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC SerpaLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vitoria SetubalLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC SerpaVitoria Setubal
34.6Attack57.7
61.5Defence73.1
43.6Form67.9
48.8Power67.0
0.57xG1.28
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