FC Seoulvs
Incheon United
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 7/5/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Seoul · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
FC Seoul are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Incheon United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Seoul hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the K League 1, while FC Seoul holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Seoul
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
FC Seoul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40