Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Rostov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FC Rostov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rubin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Rostov hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Premier League, while FC Rostov holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Rostov
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
12.7%
FC Rostov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20