GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Porto · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

FC Porto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aston Villa are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Porto hold a 52.4-point power-rating edge (95.4 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Porto holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Porto

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

FC Porto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC PortoLWLWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aston VillaWWWWD

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
FC PortoAston Villa
100.0Attack66.7
88.9Defence38.1
100.0Form28.6
95.4Power43.0
3.33xG1.19
View match centre →