GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Farense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FC Porto B are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Farense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Farense hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Segunda Liga, while Farense holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Farense

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

13.4%

Farense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC Porto BLWWWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
FarenseWDWLD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC Porto BFarense
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
43.1Form100.0
48.3Power80.3
1.29xG1.45
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