GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/13/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Orenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Orenburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alashkert are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Orenburg hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Orenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Orenburg

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

FC Orenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC OrenburgWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AlashkertLLDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC OrenburgAlashkert
59.5Attack33.3
42.9Defence66.7
38.1Form33.3
48.8Power45.5
1.87xG1.50
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