GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/23/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Nordsjaelland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

FC Nordsjaelland are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Philadelphia Union hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while FC Nordsjaelland holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Nordsjaelland

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

FC Nordsjaelland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FC NordsjaellandWDWWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Philadelphia UnionDLWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC NordsjaellandPhiladelphia Union
64.4Attack75.0
71.1Defence58.3
64.4Form70.8
66.4Power68.7
1.85xG1.17
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